Germany · Oberliga - Bremen · Bremen - 2912:00

0 – 2

Saturday, 9 May 2026

BZA Hanseaten-Kampfbahn · Analysis updated 16:11 UTC

Woltmershausen vs OSC Bremerhaven Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Woltmershausen and 4.27 for OSC Bremerhaven, a combined total of 5.27. That distribution gives OSC Bremerhaven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 89%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 89% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

OSC Bremerhaven win

89.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 4.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Woltmershausen home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • OSC Bremerhaven away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates OSC Bremerhaven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 89%, against 4% / 7% / 89% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Woltmershausen and 4.27 for OSC Bremerhaven, a combined 5.27 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Woltmershausen win4%
Draw7%
OSC Bremerhaven win89%

Double chance 1X

11%

Double chance 12

93%

Double chance X2

96%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals74%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 0–47.1%
  • 1–47.1%
  • 0–36.7%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 0–56.1%

Recent form

Woltmershausen

  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vatan Sport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OSC Bremerhaven · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aumund-Vegesack · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Eiche Horn · 2-3 (L)

OSC Bremerhaven

  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Woltmershausen · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Bremen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberneuland · 12-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brinkumer SV · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Leher TS · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Bremen table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hemelingen109103728
2Blumenthaler SV109012927
3Brinkumer SV109012627
4OSC Bremerhaven107122822
5Aumund-Vegesack10523917
6Geestemünde10424-314
7Schwachhausen10424-614
8Vatan Sport10415-413
9Union Bremen10334-312
10Eiche Horn10334-1112
11Leher TS10325511
12Grohn10316-2010
13BTS Neustadt10307-149
14Oberneuland10127-295
15Werder Bremen III10118-174
16Woltmershausen10118-274

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is OSC Bremerhaven win, at 89.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 89% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.