Wormatia Worms vs TuS Koblenz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Wormatia Worms and 1.58 for TuS Koblenz, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Wormatia Worms the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wormatia Worms win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Wormatia Worms home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
TuS Koblenz away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wormatia Worms to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Wormatia Worms and 1.58 for TuS Koblenz, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wormatia Worms win52%

Draw20%

TuS Koblenz win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.7%
1–17.9%
2–26.9%
3–16.4%
1–26.3%

Recent form

Wormatia Worms

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mechtersheim · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ahrweiler · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Wiesbach · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs TuS Koblenz · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gau-Odernheim · 3-3 (D)

TuS Koblenz

2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eisbachtal · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Diefflen · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mechtersheim · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wormatia Worms · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Wiesbach · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mechtersheim	14	10	1	3	15	31
2	Schott Mainz	14	8	5	1	17	29
3	Pirmasens	14	8	3	3	21	27
4	Gonsenheim	14	8	1	5	14	25
5	Gau-Odernheim	13	7	2	4	9	23
6	TuS RW Koblenz	14	6	5	3	8	23
7	FV Engers 07	13	6	4	3	9	22
8	TuS Koblenz	13	6	4	3	5	22
9	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	14	6	4	4	-2	22
10	Wormatia Worms	14	6	3	5	11	21
11	RW Wittlich	13	6	3	4	7	21
12	Elversberg II	14	5	4	5	-5	19
13	Hertha Wiesbach	14	4	3	7	-10	15
14	Auersmacher	14	5	0	9	-12	15
15	Cosmos Koblenz	14	4	1	9	-9	13
16	Ahrweiler	14	1	5	8	-14	8
17	Diefflen	14	1	5	8	-22	8
18	Eisbachtal	14	0	1	13	-42	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wormatia Worms win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.