Huber-Arena · Referee F. Jager · Analysis updated 07:11 UTC
WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for WSPG Wels and 1.53 for Admira Wacker, a combined total of 2.47. That distribution gives Admira Wacker the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Admira Wacker win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
WSPG Wels home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Admira Wacker away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Admira Wacker to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 24% / 26% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for WSPG Wels and 1.53 for Admira Wacker, a combined 2.47 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.4%
Recent form
WSPG Wels
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC BW Linz · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Kapfenberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Wacker · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SKU Amstetten · 1-1 (D)
Admira Wacker
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Floridsdorfer AC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Voitsberg · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FC BW Linz · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Kapfenberg · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Austria Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Admira Wacker | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | SKU Amstetten | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Wacker Innsbruck | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Floridsdorfer AC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Liefering | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | SKN ST. Polten | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Voitsberg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Rapid Wien II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Admira Wacker win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.