The vanEupen Arena · Analysis updated 23:37 UTC
Wythenshawe Amateurs vs Vauxhall Motors Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Wythenshawe Amateurs and 1.45 for Vauxhall Motors, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives Wythenshawe Amateurs the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wythenshawe Amateurs win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wythenshawe Amateurs home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vauxhall Motors away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wythenshawe Amateurs to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 23% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Wythenshawe Amateurs and 1.45 for Vauxhall Motors, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.3%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Wythenshawe Amateurs
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Blyth Spartans · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bury · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Heaton Stannington · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs West Auckland Town · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-08-19T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Vauxhall Motors · 2-0 (W)
Vauxhall Motors
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunston UTS · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Prescot Cables · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chester · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stafford Rangers · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Mossley · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wythenshawe Amateurs win, at 46.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.