· Analysis updated 15:38 UTC
Yantra 2019 vs Spartak Pleven Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Yantra 2019 and 0.73 for Spartak Pleven, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Yantra 2019 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Yantra 2019 win
58.3% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Yantra 2019 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Pleven away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yantra 2019 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Yantra 2019 and 0.73 for Spartak Pleven, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.6%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.1%
Recent form
Yantra 2019
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rilski Sportist · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marek · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportist Svoge · 1-0 (W)
Spartak Pleven
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Beroe · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rilski Sportist · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Marek · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yantra 2019 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Yantra 2019 win, at 58.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.