Wüsterstrom Arena Ybbs · Analysis updated 17:47 UTC
Ybbs vs Scheiblingkirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Ybbs and 1.70 for Scheiblingkirchen, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Scheiblingkirchen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ybbs home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Scheiblingkirchen away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Scheiblingkirchen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Ybbs and 1.70 for Scheiblingkirchen, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Ybbs
- 2026-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebreichsdorf · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ortmann · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Korneuburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Langenrohr · 1-2 (L)
Scheiblingkirchen
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Leobendorf · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.