Wüsterstrom Arena Ybbs · Analysis updated 19:25 UTC
Ybbs vs Zwettl Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Ybbs and 1.79 for Zwettl, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Ybbs the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ybbs home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zwettl away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ybbs to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Ybbs and 1.79 for Zwettl, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–04.9%
Recent form
Ybbs
- 2026-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebreichsdorf · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ortmann · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Korneuburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Langenrohr · 1-2 (L)
Zwettl
- 2026-07-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fach-Donaufeld · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Schrems · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-06-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ebreichsdorf · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-05-29T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ortmann · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.