Yeni Ordu Stadyumu · Analysis updated 14:47 UTC
Yeni Orduspor vs Artvin Hopaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Yeni Orduspor and 0.83 for Artvin Hopaspor, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Yeni Orduspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Yeni Orduspor win
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Yeni Orduspor home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Artvin Hopaspor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yeni Orduspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 22% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Yeni Orduspor and 0.83 for Artvin Hopaspor, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.2%
Recent form
Yeni Orduspor
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs İskenderunspor · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kırklarelispor · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kütahyaspor · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Adana 01 FK · 2-3 (L)
Artvin Hopaspor
- 2026-04-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs 1926 Bulancak · 7-3 (W)
- 2026-04-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Çayelispor · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-03-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 22 |
| 2 | Karaköprü Belediyespor | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Kırşehir Belediyespor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Niğde Belediyesispor | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 7 | Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Adana Adaletgucu | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Osmaniyespor | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Ağrı 1970 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Silifke Belediyespor | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -17 | 5 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -24 | 0 |
| 18 | Adanaspor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -27 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Yeni Orduspor win, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.