Football Arena Yenisei · Analysis updated 12:39 UTC
Yenisey W vs Krylya Sovetov W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.56 expected goals for Yenisey W and 2.02 for Krylya Sovetov W, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Krylya Sovetov W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Krylya Sovetov W win
72.1% probability
Expected goals
0.56 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Yenisey W home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Krylya Sovetov W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Krylya Sovetov W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 9% / 19% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.56 goals for Yenisey W and 2.02 for Krylya Sovetov W, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–215.5%
- 0–115.3%
- 0–310.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–18.5%
Recent form
Yenisey W
- 2026-08-29T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Rostov W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Krylya Sovetov W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chertanovo W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Moskva W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-07-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zenit W · 0-4 (L)
Krylya Sovetov W
- 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Yenisey W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs CSKA Moskva W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Chertanovo W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rubin Kazan W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rostov W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Supreme Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit W | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 53 |
| 2 | CSKA Moskva W | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 49 |
| 3 | Spartak Moskva W | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 43 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moskva W | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov W | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moskva W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Chertanovo W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 24 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan W | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -4 | 23 |
| 9 | Zvezda Perm W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -21 | 17 |
| 10 | Krasnodar W | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -14 | 14 |
| 11 | Rostov W | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -38 | 13 |
| 12 | Ryazan W | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -30 | 9 |
| 13 | Yenisey W | 19 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -37 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Krylya Sovetov W win, at 72.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.