Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · Matchweek 914:00
YF JuventusWLWLD

1 – 1

Saturday, 26 September 2026

KreuzlingenLLWWD

· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

YF Juventus vs Kreuzlingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for YF Juventus and 1.10 for Kreuzlingen, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives YF Juventus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

YF Juventus win

48.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • YF Juventus home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kreuzlingen away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates YF Juventus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for YF Juventus and 1.10 for Kreuzlingen, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

YF Juventus win48%
Draw25%
Kreuzlingen win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–17.6%

Recent form

YF Juventus

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grand-Saconnex · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kreuzlingen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Paradiso · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cham · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Schaffhausen · 3-0 (W)

Kreuzlingen

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys II · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bulle · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lugano II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Brühl · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs YF Juventus · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Promotion table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Biel-Bienne128311327
2Bulle138321027
3FC Schaffhausen118121625
4Paradiso137331224
5Cham12723523
6Grand-Saconnex13706621
7Basel II13616019
8YF Juventus13616-119
9Amical Saint-Prex13616-719
10Zürich II13535-118
11Breitenrain13535-118
12Brühl13526-217
13Kreuzlingen13436-315
14Young Boys II13436-615
15Lugano II13418-713
16Bellinzona13238-159
17Bavois12228-68
18Luzern II12219-137

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is YF Juventus win, at 48.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.