Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Baden-Württemberg - 317:00

3 – 0

Friday, 21 August 2026

· Analysis updated 05:36 UTC

Young Boys Reutlingen vs FV Ravensburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Young Boys Reutlingen and 1.47 for FV Ravensburg, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Young Boys Reutlingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Young Boys Reutlingen home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FV Ravensburg away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Young Boys Reutlingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Young Boys Reutlingen and 1.47 for FV Ravensburg, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Young Boys Reutlingen win44%
Draw23%
FV Ravensburg win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Young Boys Reutlingen

  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 08 Villingen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Nöttingen · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Teningen · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Muhlhausen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruhe II · 2-2 (D)

FV Ravensburg

  • 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Reutlingen · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 08 Villingen · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Nöttingen · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Teningen · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Muhlhausen · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oberachern139221729
2Backnang138411728
3FC 08 Villingen13823826
4Reutlingen13823726
5Bahlinger SC13652523
6Young Boys Reutlingen13643922
7FV Ravensburg13544919
8Karlsruhe II12543119
91. FC Muhlhausen13535-218
10CFR Pforzheim13526-317
11FC Holzhausen13526-317
12Essingen13436-515
13TSV Singen13427-814
14Balingen13346-313
15Teningen13418-1113
16FC Nöttingen12408712
17Türkspor Neckarsulm133010-229
18Normannia Gmünd132011-236

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.