World · UEFA Champions League Women · Qualifying — Finals12:30

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Saturday, 8 August 2026

Sportklub Niederosterreich · Referee A. Mylopoulou · Analysis updated 00:09 UTC

Young Boys W vs SeaSters Odesa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Young Boys W and 1.22 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Young Boys W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Young Boys W win

52.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Young Boys W home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Young Boys W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 23% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Young Boys W and 1.22 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Young Boys W win52%
Draw23%
SeaSters Odesa W win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–26.4%

Recent form

Young Boys W

  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Luzern W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarau W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Gallen W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Zürich W · 1-1 (D)

SeaSters Odesa W

  • 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Champions League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W220096
2Lyon W211084
3Paris Saint Germain W211054
4Bayern Munich W211034
5Arsenal W211014
6Inter Milano W211014
7Chelsea W211014
8Køge W210133
9Juventus W210123
10SL Benfica W2101-23
11Manchester City W202002
12Real Madrid W202002
13Austria Wien W2011-11
14Paris FC W2011-31
15OH Leuven W2011-51
16Roma W2011-61
17Häcken W2002-40
18Servette Chênois W2002-120

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Young Boys W win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.