· Analysis updated 06:07 UTC
Z. Moravce-Vrable W vs Petržalka W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 1.20 for Petržalka W, a combined total of 5.70. That distribution gives Z. Moravce-Vrable W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Z. Moravce-Vrable W win
88.3% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Z. Moravce-Vrable W home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Z. Moravce-Vrable W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 88% / 7% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 1.20 for Petržalka W, a combined 5.70 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 66%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
12%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.9%
- 5–16.2%
- 3–16.1%
- 4–05.7%
- 5–05.1%
Recent form
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 0-4 (L)
Petržalka W
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-11 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0-4 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Tatran Prešov W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Komárno W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 11 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 10 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -25 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -35 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Z. Moravce-Vrable W win, at 88.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 88% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.