· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC
Z. Moravce-Vrable W vs Tatran Prešov W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 1.79 for Tatran Prešov W, a combined total of 4.19. That distribution gives Z. Moravce-Vrable W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Z. Moravce-Vrable W win
51.6% probability
Expected goals
2.40 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Z. Moravce-Vrable W home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Tatran Prešov W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Z. Moravce-Vrable W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.40 goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 1.79 for Tatran Prešov W, a combined 4.19 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 1–25.8%
Recent form
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 0-4 (L)
Tatran Prešov W
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Trenčín W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Tatran Prešov W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Komárno W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 11 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 10 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -25 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -35 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Z. Moravce-Vrable W win, at 51.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.