· Analysis updated 09:41 UTC
Z. Moravce-Vrable W vs Trenčín W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.44 expected goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 2.55 for Trenčín W, a combined total of 4.99. That distribution gives Trenčín W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.2% probability
Expected goals
2.44 – 2.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Z. Moravce-Vrable W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Trenčín W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trenčín W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 39% / 18% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.44 goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W and 2.55 for Trenčín W, a combined 4.99 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.6%
- 2–35.6%
- 1–25.4%
- 3–25.3%
- 2–15.2%
Recent form
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 2-1 (W)
Trenčín W
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.