· Analysis updated 14:21 UTC
Zabreh vs Bospor Bohumín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Zabreh and 2.35 for Bospor Bohumín, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Bospor Bohumín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bospor Bohumín win
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 2.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zabreh home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bospor Bohumín away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bospor Bohumín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 17% / 19% / 64% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Zabreh and 2.35 for Bospor Bohumín, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
36%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–18.2%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–17.1%
Recent form
Zabreh
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vratimov · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-0 (W)
Bospor Bohumín
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Frydek-Mistek B · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vratimov · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šumperk · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Kravare | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Opava II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Stonava | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Valašské Meziříčí | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Zabreh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Frydek-Mistek B | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Pustá Polom | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -30 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bospor Bohumín win, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.