· Analysis updated 22:16 UTC
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Ślęza Wrocław Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.14 for Ślęza Wrocław, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Zagłębie Lubin II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zagłębie Lubin II win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zagłębie Lubin II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ślęza Wrocław away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zagłębie Lubin II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.14 for Ślęza Wrocław, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
Zagłębie Lubin II
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Polkowice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Barycz Sułów · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-18T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Carina Gubin · 3-0 (W)
Ślęza Wrocław
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Nysa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Katowice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Goczałkowice Zdrój · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zagłębie Lubin II win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.