Dimotiko Stadio Zakynthos · Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
Zakynthos vs Apollon Pontou Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Zakynthos and 1.85 for Apollon Pontou, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Apollon Pontou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Apollon Pontou win
55.5% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zakynthos home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Apollon Pontou away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Zakynthos
- 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Pontou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panionios · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellas Syros · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Larisa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 1-1 (D)
Apollon Pontou
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthrakikos · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Elassona · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2015-03-18T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 0-5 Apollon Pontou (Football League)
- 2014-12-21T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 0-2 Apollon Pontou (Football League)
- 2014-03-16T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 1-2 Apollon Pontou (Football League)
- 2013-12-06T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 3-0 Apollon Pontou (Football League)
- 2013-09-14T13:30:00.000Z · Zakynthos 0-3 Apollon Pontou (Cup)
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Panionios | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Larisa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Ellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Panthrakikos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Apollon Pontou | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | PAOK II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Apollon Pontou win, at 55.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.