Dimotiko Stadio Zakynthos · Analysis updated 21:42 UTC
Zakynthos vs Ethnikos Piraeus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Zakynthos and 0.60 for Ethnikos Piraeus, a combined total of 1.20. That distribution gives Zakynthos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 29%, with the draw at 42%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 12% for over 2.5 goals and 20% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 30%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 29% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.0% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 0.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zakynthos home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ethnikos Piraeus away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 29% / 42% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.60 goals for Zakynthos and 0.60 for Ethnikos Piraeus, a combined 1.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
58%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–030.1%
- 0–118.1%
- 1–018.1%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–25.4%
Recent form
Zakynthos
- 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Pontou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panionios · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellas Syros · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Larisa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 1-1 (D)
Ethnikos Piraeus
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vyrona · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Egaleo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Amfiali · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PAO Rouf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zakynthos · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 2-1 Ethnikos Piraeus (Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group)
- 2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · Zakynthos 1-0 Ethnikos Piraeus (Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 20% and over 2.5 goals at 12%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.