· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Zalaegerszegi TE II vs Puskás II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Zalaegerszegi TE II and 1.68 for Puskás II, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Zalaegerszegi TE II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.1% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zalaegerszegi TE II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Puskás II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.4%
Recent form
Zalaegerszegi TE II
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bicskei · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Haladás VSE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dorogi FC · 4-2 (W)
Puskás II
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 2-3 Puskás II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2024-05-12T09:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 0-5 Puskás II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2023-10-29T10:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 2-2 Puskás II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2023-05-14T09:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 0-0 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2022-11-19T10:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 0-6 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2022-03-13T10:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 1-3 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2021-09-04T09:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 2-2 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2021-05-30T16:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 1-2 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2020-11-22T12:00:00.000Z · Zalaegerszegi TE II 2-0 Puskás II (NB III - Southwest)
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 26 |
| 2 | Tatabánya | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Haladás VSE | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 25 |
| 4 | Sárisápi Bányász | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sopron | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Bicskei | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Puskás II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | MTE 1904 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Komárom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Gyori ETO II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Veszprém | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Pápai Perutz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 14 | Király SZE | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -23 | 5 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -26 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.