· Analysis updated 14:58 UTC
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Gyori ETO FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 3.00 for Gyori ETO FC, a combined total of 6.00. That distribution gives Zalaegerszegi TE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
58.4% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zalaegerszegi TE home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Gyori ETO FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zalaegerszegi TE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 17% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 3.00 for Gyori ETO FC, a combined 6.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–25.0%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–25.0%
- 3–35.0%
- 2–43.8%
Recent form
Zalaegerszegi TE
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ujpest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunaharaszti MTK · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO FC · 0-3 (L)
Gyori ETO FC
- 2026-09-20T12:40:00.000Z · A vs MTK Budapest · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karcag SE · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ferencvarosi TC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kisvarda FC · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.