· Referee A. Herrera · Analysis updated 08:16 UTC
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Zamora FC and 1.35 for Anzoátegui FC, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Zamora FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zamora FC home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Anzoátegui FC away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zamora FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Zamora FC and 1.35 for Anzoátegui FC, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
Zamora FC
- 2026-10-07T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Club Atletico Barinas · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Metropolitanos FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Monagas SC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Trujillanos FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Real Frontera · 2-0 (W)
Anzoátegui FC
- 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Carabobo FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Caracas FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T23:30:00.000Z · A vs UCV · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Metropolitanos FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Petare FC · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera División table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.