· Analysis updated 10:52 UTC
Zavrč vs Fužinar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Zavrč and 2.14 for Fužinar, a combined total of 4.04. That distribution gives Fužinar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.8% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zavrč home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Fužinar away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fužinar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 35% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Zavrč and 2.14 for Fužinar, a combined 4.04 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.4%
Recent form
Zavrč
- 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Brežice · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Čarda Martjanci · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rače · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Podvinci · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fužinar · 1-4 (L)
Fužinar
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Korotan Prevalje · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Ormoz · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdina · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Odranci · 3-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. SNL - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odranci | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Fužinar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Ormoz | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Šmartno | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Hajdina | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Čarda Martjanci | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Videm | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Podvinci | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Rače | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Korotan Prevalje | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Dobrovce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 9 |
| 12 | Ljutomer | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Limbuš Pekre | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 14 | Šampion Celje | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.