Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 618:15

18:15 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Legia Warszawa II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.51 for Legia Warszawa II, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II or Draw

66.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.51

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz win33%
Draw25%
Legia Warszawa II win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Legia Warszawa II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 33% / 25% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.31 goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.51 for Legia Warszawa II, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

    Legia Warszawa II

    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    II Liga - East table

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.