Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.25 for Resovia Rzeszów, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Zawisza Bydgoszcz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zawisza Bydgoszcz win

49.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Resovia Rzeszów away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 24% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.25 for Resovia Rzeszów, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz win49%

Draw24%

Resovia Rzeszów win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–110.9%
2–19.5%
1–08.7%
2–07.6%
1–26.8%

Recent form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

2026-10-11T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Znicz Pruszków · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Łęczna · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-12T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Hutnik Kraków · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 3-3 (D)

Resovia Rzeszów

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokół Kleczew · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Avia Świdnik · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-0 Resovia Rzeszów (II Liga - East)

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	15	32
2	Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	7	2	4	13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	6	4	3	-1	22
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	4	19
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	13	5	4	4	3	19
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	2	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	-2	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	5	3	5	3	18
10	Hutnik Kraków	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Avia Świdnik	13	5	2	6	-4	17
13	Legia Warszawa II	13	5	1	7	3	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	2	6	5	-11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	3	1	9	-6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	2	3	8	-16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	0	6	7	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zawisza Bydgoszcz win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.