Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Tychy 71 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.44 for Tychy 71, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Tychy 71 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

71.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tychy 71 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 29% / 26% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.44 for Tychy 71, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz win29%

Draw26%

Tychy 71 win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.5%
0–111.3%
1–29.0%
1–08.7%
0–28.1%

Recent form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

2026-10-11T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Znicz Pruszków · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Łęczna · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-12T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Hutnik Kraków · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 3-3 (D)

Tychy 71

2026-08-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Resovia Rzeszów · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	15	32
2	Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	7	2	4	13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	6	4	3	-1	22
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	4	19
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	13	5	4	4	3	19
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	2	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	-2	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	5	3	5	3	18
10	Hutnik Kraków	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Avia Świdnik	13	5	2	6	-4	17
13	Legia Warszawa II	13	5	1	7	3	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	2	6	5	-11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	3	1	9	-6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	2	3	8	-16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	0	6	7	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.