Zbrojovka Brno II vs Vsetín Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno II and 1.35 for Vsetín, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Zbrojovka Brno II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zbrojovka Brno II win

58.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.30 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zbrojovka Brno II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vsetín away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Zbrojovka Brno II win59%

Draw20%

Vsetín win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.3%
1–18.1%
3–17.1%
2–06.9%
2–26.3%

Recent form

Zbrojovka Brno II

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Vítkovice · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zlín II · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko II · 1-0 (W)

Vsetín

2026-10-25T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín II · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Líšeň II · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno II 5-0 Vsetín (3. liga - MSFL)
2026-05-20T15:30:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno II 3-1 Vsetín (3. liga - MSFL)
2025-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno II 3-0 Vsetín (3. liga - MSFL)
2023-05-21T08:15:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno II 4-1 Vsetín (4. liga - Divizie E)
2022-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno II 1-1 Vsetín (4. liga - Divizie E)

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uničov	14	10	2	2	14	32
2	Líšeň II	14	8	5	1	16	29
3	Frýdek-Místek	14	8	3	3	10	27
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	14	8	3	3	8	27
5	Sigma Olomouc II	14	8	1	5	11	25
6	Hranice	14	7	2	5	5	23
7	Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	3	21
8	Uherský Brod	14	6	3	5	1	21
9	Vítkovice	14	5	4	5	0	19
10	Slovácko II	14	5	3	6	5	18
11	Zlín II	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Hodonín	14	5	2	7	2	17
13	Karviná II	14	5	2	7	-2	17
14	Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	-13	17
15	Havířov	14	2	5	7	-11	11
16	Blansko	14	2	5	7	-14	11
17	Vsetín	14	3	1	10	-18	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	14	2	3	9	-13	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zbrojovka Brno II win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.