· Analysis updated 15:50 UTC
Zbrojovka Brno U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno U19 and 2.50 for Baník Ostrava U19, a combined total of 4.45. That distribution gives Baník Ostrava U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Baník Ostrava U19 win
50.5% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zbrojovka Brno U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Ostrava U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.9%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.7%
Recent form
Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-2 (D)
Baník Ostrava U19
- 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 5-0 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2026-06-10T11:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 0-1 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2025-11-14T10:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 3-1 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2025-06-07T08:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 2-3 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2024-11-09T10:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 0-2 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2024-06-08T09:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 1-3 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2023-11-10T10:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 0-2 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2023-04-07T08:00:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 1-4 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2022-09-09T09:30:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 2-2 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2022-04-02T10:15:00.000Z · Zbrojovka Brno U19 1-2 Baník Ostrava U19 (1. Liga U19)
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Baník Ostrava U19 win, at 50.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.