Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1509:00

3 – 2

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:08 UTC

Zbrojovka Brno U19 vs Hradec Králové U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno U19 and 2.41 for Hradec Králové U19, a combined total of 3.89. That distribution gives Hradec Králové U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hradec Králové U19 win

58.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 2.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zbrojovka Brno U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hradec Králové U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hradec Králové U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 23% / 19% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Zbrojovka Brno U19 and 2.41 for Hradec Králové U19, a combined 3.89 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zbrojovka Brno U19 win23%
Draw19%
Hradec Králové U19 win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 1–37.1%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 0–26.0%

Recent form

Zbrojovka Brno U19

  • 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-2 (D)

Hradec Králové U19

  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové U19 win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.