Stadium Zdirec · Analysis updated 16:58 UTC
Ždírec nad Doubravou vs Kuřim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Ždírec nad Doubravou and 1.76 for Kuřim, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Kuřim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.0% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ždírec nad Doubravou home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kuřim away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuřim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 23% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Ždírec nad Doubravou and 1.76 for Kuřim, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.7%
Recent form
Ždírec nad Doubravou
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bystrc Kníničky · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuřim · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bedrichov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Velké Meziříčí · 2-3 (L)
Kuřim
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Velké Meziříčí · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pelhřimov · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.