· Analysis updated 19:44 UTC
Ždírec nad Doubravou vs Sokol Tasovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Ždírec nad Doubravou and 1.86 for Sokol Tasovice, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Sokol Tasovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sokol Tasovice win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ždírec nad Doubravou home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Tasovice away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Ždírec nad Doubravou
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bystrc Kníničky · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuřim · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bedrichov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Velké Meziříčí · 2-3 (L)
Sokol Tasovice
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Chotebor · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FS Třebíč · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 1-3 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2026-05-10T14:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 1-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 1-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-05-11T14:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 0-3 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 3-1 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-06-02T15:00:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 3-1 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2023-10-29T13:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 0-1 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2023-05-07T14:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 2-3 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2022-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 2-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2022-06-12T15:00:00.000Z · Ždírec nad Doubravou 3-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuřim | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 25 |
| 2 | Sparta Brno | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Tatran Bohunice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Velká Bíteš | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | FS Třebíč | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Havlíčkův Brod | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Znojmo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 | Sokol Tasovice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Velké Meziříčí | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -14 | 11 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Chotebor | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -41 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Tasovice win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.