· Analysis updated 09:56 UTC
Zelzate vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Zelzate and 1.99 for Lokeren-Temse, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Lokeren-Temse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lokeren-Temse win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zelzate home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokeren-Temse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 26% / 22% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Zelzate and 1.99 for Lokeren-Temse, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.1%
- 0–27.1%
- 2–16.4%
Recent form
Zelzate
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoogstraten · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Thes Sport · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Knokke · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Houtvenne · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · 3-4 (L)
Lokeren-Temse
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Houtvenne · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Virton · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs RSC Anderlecht II · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Francs Borains · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lokeren-Temse win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.