· Referee M. Dohal · Analysis updated 10:26 UTC
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Zemplín Michalovce and 0.95 for Podbrezová, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Zemplín Michalovce the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zemplín Michalovce win
59.6% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zemplín Michalovce home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Podbrezová away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zemplín Michalovce to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 22% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Zemplín Michalovce and 0.95 for Podbrezová, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.0%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.6%
Recent form
Zemplín Michalovce
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 1-0 (W)
Podbrezová
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zemplín Michalovce · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Bratislava · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 29 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Slovan Bratislava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Žilina | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Skalica | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | Ružomberok | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zemplín Michalovce win, at 59.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.