Zemun Stadium · Analysis updated 16:27 UTC
Zemun vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for Zemun and 1.79 for Radnicki 1923, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Radnicki 1923 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Radnicki 1923 win
61.5% probability
Expected goals
0.78 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zemun home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Radnicki 1923 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Radnicki 1923 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 16% / 23% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.78 goals for Zemun and 1.79 for Radnicki 1923, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.7%
- 0–212.3%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.6%
Recent form
Zemun
- 2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Macva · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cukaricki · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Železničar Pančevo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Novi Pazar · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Surdulica · 1-1 (D)
Radnicki 1923
- 2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Surdulica · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vojvodina · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 37 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Macva | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -18 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Radnicki 1923 win, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.