· Analysis updated 16:13 UTC
Zenit 2 vs Dinamo Moskva II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.81 expected goals for Zenit 2 and 0.46 for Dinamo Moskva II, a combined total of 4.27. That distribution gives Zenit 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 93%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 93% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zenit 2 win
93.0% probability
Expected goals
3.81 – 0.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zenit 2 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Moskva II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zenit 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 93%, against 93% / 5% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.81 goals for Zenit 2 and 0.46 for Dinamo Moskva II, a combined 4.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
95%
Double chance X2
7%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–012.9%
- 4–012.3%
- 2–010.2%
- 5–09.3%
- 6–05.9%
Recent form
Zenit 2
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Moskva II · 3-0 (W)
Dinamo Moskva II
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Stavropol · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Amkar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit 2 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 26 |
| 2 | Amkar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moskva II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -21 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zenit 2 win, at 93.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 93% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.