Het Dekken Terrain 2 · Analysis updated 04:41 UTC
Zepperen-Brustem vs Betekom Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Zepperen-Brustem and 0.92 for Betekom, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Zepperen-Brustem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zepperen-Brustem win
74.6% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zepperen-Brustem home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Betekom away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zepperen-Brustem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 15% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Zepperen-Brustem and 0.92 for Betekom, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–08.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.3%
Recent form
Zepperen-Brustem
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 0-6 (L)
- 2025-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Raeren-Eynatten · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-08-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Munkzwalm · 8-0 (W)
- 2025-06-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Londerzeel · 3-3 (D)
Betekom
- 2025-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Harelbeke · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Esperanza Pelt · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Geel · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-04-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotselaar · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-04-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Zepperen-Brustem · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Londerzeel | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 66 |
| 2 | Nijlen | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Tempo Overijse | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 26 | 57 |
| 4 | Schoonbeek-Beverst | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 56 |
| 5 | Rotselaar | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | De Kempen | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Zepperen-Brustem | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 43 |
| 8 | Zwarte Leeuw | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Sint-Lenaarts | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Achel | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | City Pirates Antwerpen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | Turnhout | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | Geel | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 35 |
| 14 | Lommel II | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Betekom | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | -39 | 19 |
| 16 | Bevel | 30 | 2 | 4 | 24 | -65 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zepperen-Brustem win, at 74.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.