· Analysis updated 23:28 UTC
Zeta vs Grbalj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Zeta and 1.01 for Grbalj, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Zeta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zeta win
53.1% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zeta home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grbalj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–16.8%
Recent form
Zeta
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Iskra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 1-0 (W)
Grbalj
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Tivat · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:45:00.000Z · Zeta 1-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2023-05-06T14:30:00.000Z · Zeta 1-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2023-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · Zeta 0-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2022-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · Zeta 2-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2022-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · Zeta 1-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2020-06-03T16:00:00.000Z · Zeta 2-0 Grbalj (First League)
- 2019-11-23T12:00:00.000Z · Zeta 2-0 Grbalj (First League)
- 2019-09-14T13:30:00.000Z · Zeta 0-0 Grbalj (First League)
- 2019-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Zeta 0-0 Grbalj (First League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zeta win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.