Montenegro · Second League · Matchweek 1514:00
ZetaDLWLW

14:00 UTC

Wednesday, 4 November 2026

· Analysis updated 19:37 UTC

Zeta vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Zeta and 1.60 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zeta home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mladost Lješkopolje away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mladost Lješkopolje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 31% / 25% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Zeta and 1.60 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zeta win31%
Draw25%
Mladost Lješkopolje win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–07.2%

Recent form

Zeta

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Iskra · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 1-0 (W)

Mladost Lješkopolje

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jedinstvo137241023
2Mladost Lješkopolje12651723
3Zeta12543319
4Lovćen12615119
5Kom11533418
6Iskra12525117
7Rudar12444016
8Grbalj12444-416
9Mogren12255-111
10Berane120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.