Montenegro · Second League · Matchweek 217:00
ZetaDLWLW

2 – 0

Saturday, 22 August 2026

RudarDWLWL

· Analysis updated 11:34 UTC

Zeta vs Rudar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Zeta and 1.16 for Rudar, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Zeta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zeta win

48.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zeta home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rudar away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zeta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.61 goals for Zeta and 1.16 for Rudar, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zeta win48%
Draw25%
Rudar win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 0–17.2%

Recent form

Zeta

  • 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-0 (W)

Rudar

  • 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Berane · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grbalj · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jedinstvo137241023
2Mladost Lješkopolje12651723
3Zeta12543319
4Lovćen12615119
5Kom11533418
6Iskra12525117
7Rudar12444016
8Grbalj12444-416
9Mogren12255-111
10Berane120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zeta win, at 48.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.