· Analysis updated 13:33 UTC
ZFC Meuselwitz vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for ZFC Meuselwitz and 1.90 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives ZFC Meuselwitz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ZFC Meuselwitz win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ZFC Meuselwitz home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ZFC Meuselwitz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 20% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for ZFC Meuselwitz and 1.90 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.3%
- 1–26.0%
- 3–15.9%
Recent form
ZFC Meuselwitz
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 3-3 (D)
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfR Aalen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 08 Homburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Mannheim · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ZFC Meuselwitz win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.