· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
ZFC Meuselwitz vs BFC Preussen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for ZFC Meuselwitz and 1.55 for BFC Preussen, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives ZFC Meuselwitz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ZFC Meuselwitz win
61.9% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ZFC Meuselwitz home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
BFC Preussen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ZFC Meuselwitz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 18% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for ZFC Meuselwitz and 1.55 for BFC Preussen, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.3%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–16.0%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
ZFC Meuselwitz
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 3-3 (D)
BFC Preussen
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Luckenwalde · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg II · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · ZFC Meuselwitz 1-0 BFC Preussen (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · ZFC Meuselwitz 1-2 BFC Preussen (Regionalliga - Nordost)
- 2026-04-01T17:00:00.000Z · ZFC Meuselwitz 2-3 BFC Preussen (Regionalliga - Nordost)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ZFC Meuselwitz win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.