Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 110:00
Zhytomyr U19LWWWL

0 – 2

Wednesday, 5 August 2026

· Analysis updated 18:55 UTC

Zhytomyr U19 vs Livyi Bereh U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Zhytomyr U19 and 1.34 for Livyi Bereh U19, a combined total of 2.56. That distribution gives Livyi Bereh U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.34

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zhytomyr U19 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Livyi Bereh U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 34% / 27% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.22 goals for Zhytomyr U19 and 1.34 for Livyi Bereh U19, a combined 2.56 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Zhytomyr U19 win34%
Draw27%
Livyi Bereh U19 win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.7%

Recent form

Zhytomyr U19

  • 2026-10-14T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Veres Rivne U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-0 (W)

Livyi Bereh U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    U19 League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

    A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.