Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 1010:30
Zhytomyr U19LWWWL

2 – 3

Wednesday, 14 October 2026

· Analysis updated 19:52 UTC

Zhytomyr U19 vs Veres Rivne U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Zhytomyr U19 and 1.07 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Zhytomyr U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zhytomyr U19 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Veres Rivne U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zhytomyr U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 28% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Zhytomyr U19 and 1.07 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Zhytomyr U19 win42%
Draw28%
Veres Rivne U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 2–18.5%

Recent form

Zhytomyr U19

  • 2026-10-14T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Veres Rivne U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-0 (W)

Veres Rivne U19

  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Metalurh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Livyi Bereh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.