· Analysis updated 08:31 UTC
Žilina II vs Karviná II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Žilina II and 1.08 for Karviná II, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Žilina II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Žilina II win
75.3% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Žilina II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Žilina II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 14% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.95 goals for Žilina II and 1.08 for Karviná II, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–07.6%
- 4–16.1%
Recent form
Žilina II
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Galanta · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MFK Bytča · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Humenné · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 4-2 (W)
Karviná II
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zlín II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Líšeň II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hodonín · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Žilina II win, at 75.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.