Zira vs Paide Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Zira and 0.83 for Paide, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Zira the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Zira win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Zira win55%

Draw25%

Paide win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–014.3%
1–111.8%
2–011.3%
2–19.3%
0–09.1%

Why the model likes this

Zira home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Paide away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zira to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 25% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Zira and 0.83 for Paide, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Zira

2026-08-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Safa Baku · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 3-0 (W)

Paide

2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trans Narva · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rapid Vienna · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuressaare · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zira · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.