· Analysis updated 09:41 UTC
Zitavany vs Veľké Ludince Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Zitavany and 1.44 for Veľké Ludince, a combined total of 3.12. That distribution gives Zitavany the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Veľké Ludince away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zitavany to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Zitavany and 1.44 for Veľké Ludince, a combined 3.12 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Zitavany
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Veľké Ludince · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chynorany · 1-1 (D)
Veľké Ludince
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zitavany · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajská Lužná · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gabčíkovo · 1-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.