Zlín II vs Uherský Brod Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Zlín II and 0.98 for Uherský Brod, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Zlín II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zlín II win

47.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.43 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zlín II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Uherský Brod away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zlín II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Zlín II and 0.98 for Uherský Brod, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín II win47%

Draw27%

Uherský Brod win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–012.9%
1–112.6%
2–09.2%
0–09.1%
2–19.0%

Recent form

Zlín II

2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Karviná II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vítkovice · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc II · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 4-1 (W)

Uherský Brod

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vrchovina · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Polanka nad Odrou · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Uničov · 3-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Líšeň II	13	8	5	0	17	29
2	Uničov	13	9	2	2	13	29
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	13	8	3	2	10	27
4	Frýdek-Místek	13	7	3	3	7	24
5	Hranice	13	7	2	4	7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	7	1	5	6	22
7	Slovácko II	13	5	3	5	6	18
8	Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	2	18
9	Uherský Brod	13	5	3	5	0	18
10	Hodonín	13	5	2	6	3	17
11	Vítkovice	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Zlín II	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Karviná II	13	4	2	7	-4	14
14	Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	-15	14
15	Havířov	13	2	5	6	-9	11
16	Blansko	13	2	5	6	-11	11
17	Vsetín	13	3	1	9	-16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	2	3	8	-8	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zlín II win, at 47.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.