Zlín II vs Vítkovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Zlín II and 1.25 for Vítkovice, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Vítkovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zlín II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vítkovice away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vítkovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 35% / 27% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Zlín II and 1.25 for Vítkovice, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín II win35%

Draw27%

Vítkovice win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.9%
0–110.8%
1–010.4%
0–08.6%
1–28.1%

Recent form

Zlín II

2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Karviná II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vítkovice · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc II · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 4-1 (W)

Vítkovice

2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Vrchovina · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Polanka nad Odrou · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nové Sady · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Líšeň II	13	8	5	0	17	29
2	Uničov	13	9	2	2	13	29
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	13	8	3	2	10	27
4	Frýdek-Místek	13	7	3	3	7	24
5	Hranice	13	7	2	4	7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	7	1	5	6	22
7	Slovácko II	13	5	3	5	6	18
8	Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	2	18
9	Uherský Brod	13	5	3	5	0	18
10	Hodonín	13	5	2	6	3	17
11	Vítkovice	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Zlín II	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Karviná II	13	4	2	7	-4	14
14	Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	-15	14
15	Havířov	13	2	5	6	-9	11
16	Blansko	13	2	5	6	-11	11
17	Vsetín	13	3	1	9	-16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	2	3	8	-8	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.