Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 2511:30
Zlín U19DLWDW

4 – 2

Friday, 8 May 2026

· Analysis updated 05:03 UTC

Zlín U19 vs České Budějovice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Zlín U19 and 1.88 for České Budějovice U19, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives České Budějovice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

61.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zlín U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates České Budějovice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 22% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Zlín U19 and 1.88 for České Budějovice U19, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín U19 win39%
Draw22%
České Budějovice U19 win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 1–18.4%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%

Recent form

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

České Budějovice U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Opava U19129121828
    2Hradec Králové U19137421825
    3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
    4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
    5Dukla Praha U1912633721
    6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
    7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
    8Sparta Praha U1911515416
    9Teplice U1911515-616
    10České Budějovice U1911425714
    11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
    12Slovácko U1912318-1210
    13Pardubice U1912228-158
    14Zlín U1911227-178
    15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
    16Karviná U1912219-247

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

    A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.