Zlín U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Zlín U19 and 2.88 for Pardubice U19, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Pardubice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pardubice U19 win

69.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 2.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zlín U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pardubice U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín U19 win15%

Draw16%

Pardubice U19 win69%

Double chance 1X

31%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

85%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Over 3.5 goals60%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–28.2%
1–37.9%
0–26.2%
0–35.9%
1–15.7%

Recent form

Zlín U19

2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Pardubice U19

2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-04-24T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-1 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2025-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 0-4 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2025-03-22T11:45:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-2 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2024-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 3-1 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2024-05-31T10:30:00.000Z · Zlín U19 4-0 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2023-11-04T11:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-0 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2023-05-06T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 0-3 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2022-10-08T10:30:00.000Z · Zlín U19 2-1 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2022-04-02T11:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 0-1 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)
2021-08-21T11:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 0-1 Pardubice U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Opava U19	12	9	1	2	18	28
2	Hradec Králové U19	13	7	4	2	18	25
3	Baník Ostrava U19	10	8	0	2	5	24
4	Sigma Olomouc U19	11	7	1	3	10	22
5	Dukla Praha U19	12	6	3	3	7	21
6	Mladá Boleslav U19	12	6	2	4	5	20
7	Viktoria Plzeň U19	9	6	1	2	16	19
8	Sparta Praha U19	11	5	1	5	4	16
9	Teplice U19	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	České Budějovice U19	11	4	2	5	7	14
11	Zbrojovka Brno U19	12	4	2	6	-5	14
12	Slovácko U19	12	3	1	8	-12	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	2	2	8	-15	8
14	Zlín U19	11	2	2	7	-17	8
15	Slavia Praha U19	11	1	4	6	-11	7
16	Karviná U19	12	2	1	9	-24	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Pardubice U19 win, at 69.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.